Modern, data-driven horse racing partnerships.

Race Fast Horses!

Sales or partnerships are like the races themselves, a matter of precise calculations. A length here and a length there can make all the difference. The margin between horses is often slim that being able to accurately measure, price and pick the right ones is crucial to winning on the track.

You can go by projections from long held but outdated standards such as nicking patterns or other traditional methods, but they’re wildly inaccurate. There’s little science and inconsistent reasoning behind them – just some people and their opinions.

Whether you’re investing $46 or $460,000 at sales or partnerships, you should feel confident in your decisions, and that’s where we come in. We think smarter so that you can be more informed.

Race Fast Horses!

Sales or partnerships are like the races themselves, a matter of precise calculations. A length here and a length there can make all the difference. The margin between horses is often slim, so being able to accurately measure, price and pick the right ones is crucial to winning on the track.

You can go by projections from long held but outdated standards such as nicking patterns or by industry experts, but they’re wildly inaccurate. There’s little science and inconsistent reasoning behind them – just some people and their opinions.

Whether you’re investing $46 or $460,000 at sales or partnerships, you should feel confident in your decisions, and that’s where we come in. We think smarter so that you can be more informed.

Quantifly Racing knows...

Value to Price
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All things equal in a scenario of identical-quality dams covered , Tapiture (Tapit) rates on par as a sire with Maclean’s Music (Distorted Humor), despite the latter standing for 1.5 times higher an amount than the former.  Maclean’s Music is still favorable in his own rate, by the way.

Listed Black Type
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Standing for a fee of $10,000, there is an 81% chance that Air Force Blue (War Front) will produce his first listed black type winner with a 2-year-old in 2021.  From those projections, there is a 31% chance of at least one accomplishing a graded stakes win.

OBSAPR 20
400

Hip 484 from 2020 OBS Spring 2-year-old in training sale was identified as a short-list candidate despite her dam not having notable success at time of sale.  As of this print, PA-bred filly Marion Francis is multiple black type-placed, still early in her career.

How It Works

We use the same principles that Wall Street types use to pick stocks, and the same concepts that will tell you that a house you’re buying is a steal – we look at comparable, similar situations from hundreds of millions of different relationships throughout pedigrees and make predictions based on those numbers. In short, we perform modern pedigree analysis by making use of statistical data on related horses to buy undervalued horses. Think of the film ‘Moneyball’ for horse racing.

For each horse, our technology establishes a genetic variance for the horses that comprise its pedigree. In other words, how does quantitative genetics tell us that the fact that horses are in some way related contribute to a final performance output.

Unlike “nicks” that identify only specific combinations of horses as an oversimplified solution, we use the entire relevant pedigree. Historically-based ratings are derived for horses based on performance contribution and a relationship to others in the pedigree, while at the same time referencing it’s performance contribution and relationship in other horses pedigrees.

In addition, we account for horses that never make it to the races. Most indices today assume everyone gets to the races, which is where statistics such as earnings/starter come from, but of course this is far from reality. We evaluate "unknown" performance records for horses that don’t make it to the races, as well as differentiate between male and female performance metrics.

Resulting is a super-specific, data-driven projection based on year after year after year of similar relational situations from pedigrees, all adjusted to the present based on historical observations. We use then these projections in tandem with select industry experts to decide who to buy, who to pass for, and so on.